Brentford vs Aston Villa: prediction & betting odds 16 September 2025

The English League Cup Round of 32 match between Brentford and Aston Villa will take place on September 16 at the Brentford Community Stadium in London. Brentford vs. Aston Villa: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Brentford

Keith Andrews' team started this tournament from the previous stage. Playing away, the Londoners defeated Bournemouth 2-0. The team has never achieved significant success in this tournament, with their best performance in the 2020/21 season when they reached the semi-finals, losing 0-2 to Tottenham. In the last edition, Brentford was stopped at the quarter-final stage with a loss to Newcastle on their field (1-3).

  • The club has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 9 English League Cup matches (4 wins and 3 draws).
  • No more than two goals were scored in 90 minutes in 8 of Brentford's last 10 matches in this tournament.
  • The team has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 11 of their last 12 home games in this cup.

Predicted lineup for Brentford (4-4-2)

Caoimhin Kelleher – Michael Kayode, Nathan Collins, Ethan Pinnock, Sepp van den Berg – Yegor Yarmolyuk, Kevin Schade, Mathias Jensen, Jordan Henderson – Keane Lewis-Potter, Igor Thiago.

Aston Villa

The Birmingham side starts their English League Cup journey from this stage. In the last edition, the team reached the Round of 16, losing 1-2 at home to Crystal Palace. Notably, Aston Villa reached the final twice this century but lost to Manchester clubs. The team approaches this match with three defeats in their last four tournament matches (alongside one win).

  • Both teams scored in regular time in the last 6 matches in this tournament.
  • At least 3 goals were scored in 90 minutes in Aston Villa's last 5 games in this Cup.
  • Away in the English League Cup, the Birmingham side has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 matches (7 wins and 2 draws).

Predicted lineup for Aston Villa (5-3-2)

Emiliano Martinez – Lucas Digne, Lamare Bogarde, Tyrone Mings, Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa – Emiliano Buendia, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans – Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.

Referee

John Brooks (England)

Matches – 21 (Premier League and English League Cup, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 103;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 14%.

Brentford vs. Aston Villa: Match Prediction

Both teams have had a poor start in the Premier League. Particularly for Birmingham, who are in 19th place after four rounds with just two points. Interestingly, Unai Emery's team is the only one in the league yet to score a goal. The Spanish coach will need to make changes soon, possibly choosing to abandon the English League Cup to focus solely on the Premier League.

Brentford has 4 points. The team has won only one league match so far, and it was against Aston Villa – the Londoners won 1-0 at home. Notably, the match was dominated by Birmingham, but both clubs were ineffective in finishing their attacks, with only two shots on target each throughout the match.

I anticipate that the cup match will be similar to the league encounter. The Londoners will focus more on defense and counterattacks, while the Birmingham side will once again struggle in attack. Since Brentford's promotion to the Premier League, the opponents have met five times at this stadium, with no more than three goals scored in those games.

My prediction – Total under 3

Brentford — Aston Villa betting tips 16 September 2025

This tie is one of only two in the third round of the EFL Cup involving English Premier League clubs. Do Brentford and Aston Villa really want to burden themselves with an extra competition when results are not exactly going their way?

Brentford are in slightly better shape. They snatched a 2:2 draw against Chelsea on home soil, even though they are now without the strike partnership that delivered last season. Three of Brentford’s four opponents have found the net against them, and the only side who did not were Aston Villa in Matchweek 2 (1:0). On that occasion Aston Villa created plenty (17 shots, 1.19 xG) and had 76% possession, but they failed to make it count.

And after Matchweek 4 Aston Villa remain without a goal. The saving grace is that they are at least picking up some points. In Matchweek 4 they earned a draw at Everton’s new stadium only thanks to Emiliano Martínez. The Argentine goalkeeper is prone to the occasional error, but last Saturday he was genuinely the hero. His rating was not even the highest within the squad, but 2.08 xG and three big chances tell their own story: he pulled off a string of saves and kept them in it. Aston Villa managed only 0.54 xG and one shot on target.

Aston Villa may keep it tight at the back, although Unai Emery is likely to make a change in goal simply to give Emiliano Martínez a rest, and they have big problems up front. If the first-choice players cannot find the net, what will the reserves produce? So we are backing Team Total Under on Aston Villa goals.

Betting prediction
Aston Villa Total Under 1.5
Cf
Odds
77/100
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Brentford vs Aston Villa Odds

EFL Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Brentford
26.08.25
Bournemouth
Brentford
W
Aston Villa
The team hasn't played a game yet this season

H2H: Brentford — Aston Villa

Premier League 2025-2026
23.08.25
Brentford
Aston Villa
Premier League 2024-2025
08.03.25
Brentford
Aston Villa
04.12.24
Aston Villa
Brentford
Premier League 2023-2024
06.04.24
Aston Villa
Brentford
17.12.23
Brentford
Aston Villa
Premier League 2022-2023
22.04.23
Brentford
Aston Villa
23.10.22
Aston Villa
Brentford
Premier League 2021-2022
02.01.22
Brentford
Aston Villa
28.08.21
Aston Villa
Brentford
championship 2018-2019
13.02.19
Brentford
Aston Villa
1
:
0
22.08.18
Aston Villa
Brentford
2
:
2
championship 2017-2018
26.12.17
Brentford
Aston Villa
09.09.17
Aston Villa
Brentford
championship 2016-2017
30.01.17
Brentford
Aston Villa
3
:
0
13.09.16
Aston Villa
Brentford
1
:
1
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Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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